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eDrive - Rich and poor




Don't you think it's possible to foresee the future? Let us try, admittedly somewhat amateurishly, to put the facts together. One of them may surprise you: A general speed limit on German motorways is highly unlikely. Why? Because the carmakers are also dependent on it, and not just a little. Why? Because especially our expensive cars sell better abroad because of the missing speed limit.

It's quite simple. Please follow the racing activities of individual manufacturers, for well over a hundred years. Obviously, the manufacturer whose cars are more successful in races sells more. But how many buyers are putting a racing charge on their cars? Almost none. So people don't really take advantage of that superiority.

I pay more for something that has superior abilities I don't need. Weird, right? No, not at all. Because I'm not buying a car, I'm buying a coat or even a costume that has to fit me. You could also call it a mini-home, for some people the only one in their lives that belongs to them, at least when all installments are paid. That's why there will always be private transport next to public transport.

The car as a reflection of the driver. Let me make this clear. Of course, young people are pushing into the city and do not need a car there. But what if they (now often later) start a family? Some people want to go to the countryside and buy a house with a garage. You can imagine the rest in terms of individual traffic. Or do you seriously believe in mass car sharing even there? It is not even necessary to introduce a general speed limit, as opponents calculate that only 2 percent of the roads in Germany are not speed-limited. Cunning as they are, they have at least included the country roads in their calculations. But apart from that, you also suspiciously often encounter the 130 km/h limits on the motorway. Also such a ruse to introduce variable speed limits.

The Dutch are smart and watch out for costs. They generally introduce a speed limit of 100 km/h and then allow up to 130 km/h in some cases. These are then no longer speed limits, but speed increases. No, the advocates of a speed limit need only do one thing, namely wait. However, they will not be completely satisfied in the end. And that's what happens.

For once, assume that there is comprehensive e-mobility. I don't know why their supporters are so feverish. It will come, simply because of logic. Electricity used to be of use The use of a special cleaning agent is rather frowned upon, perhaps justifiable for small and household appliances. But once we have achieved the high margins of renewable energy, then things will turn round. Perhaps soon, home builders will be planning the installation of electric wall heating, because of the low investment and maintenance costs.

The Americans have been doing this for a long time, but certainly not because of climate neutrality. But let's stick with a nationwide supply of electricity. No, it will not and cannot be for free, because it is already becoming clear how much pressure costs for transmission and charging infrastructure can be. At Inonity, they claim that even the 0.79 € per kWh does not cover the costs.

As always, this is an eminently important aspect of e-mobility, but unfortunately far too little is discussed on the Internet. Let us formulate a statement about this:

The cost of a vehicle well suited for longer distances in relation to a less well suited but cheaper one will increase.

The purchase of a long-distance e-car is already much more expensive. Whereby these cars are not even suitable for long-distance travel compared to the past. Even if the battery pack becomes cheaper overall, a significant difference will remain. With the VW id.3 you will probably have to reckon with almost 10.000 € for every next higher level, because additionally coupled with packages.

So in the past (and perhaps still at the moment), it was possible to buy a comfortable car that could be driven for many kilometres without interruption at a lower surcharge. And that anyway with lower prices for fuel. But what is even more important, one could also tackle the longer journey with the comparatively cheap car. This will not be possible in the E age so simply.

Why? Because a VW Polo (or an even cheaper car) only needs to be refueled once or twice on the journey to Italy, which hardly takes longer than with the larger Audi, Mercedes or BMW. So all that matters is the undoubtedly higher average speed, which, by the way, their drivers will not let themselves be taken so easily. They will perceive speed limits as expropriation.

The situation is quite different with the completed e-mobility, and that will come. As I have already said, we will have to pay considerably more for speeding. At best, this will be twice as much fuel as is needed for the Polo, assuming Diesel technology. Filling up with this amount of fuel takes only a little longer, so that you hardly lose any average speed.

But then. Like I said, the bigger battery pack. Perhaps even more problematic: the charging infrastructure. For fast charging, higher voltages would be helpful, off the norm of the others and, as seen again with Porsche, very expensive. The superior car of the future does not shine with more power, but with ultra-fast charging.

It's quite astonishing: Whenever a new technology was introduced in the field of mobility, things went very slowly at the beginning. The first vehicle from Benz achieved at best 16 km/h. And what about the importer Tesla, supposedly for the mass market? He started with a sports car and already with his second model he hit an unbelievable number of burners, at least in acceleration.

Where then is the unique selling point for particularly expensive cars? Of course, no longer in terms of engine power. Totally unrealistic, because at particularly high speeds the battery is drained much faster than the tank used to be. The manufacturers of such cars have already thought about this. Particularly short charging breaks with enormous currents and perhaps also voltages, but with again salted prices as already with the car purchase.

Can you imagine a robot car with a really good travel average? Everything the will take longer than before.

The manufacturers of expensive cars, on the other hand, will do everything possible to avoid appearing in the newspaper with the title 'Audi endangers Polo occupants by speeding! That is the true meaning of autonomous driving, to avoid accidents of this kind at all costs and still ensure higher averages to some extent. For this reason alone, assistance will remain for a long time and not lead to fully automatic 'door to door'.







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